Probably Stolen: 1 million sales and how to start

Probably Stolen: dark poster with a huge "1,000,000" filled with a neon space station, under the words "Probably Stolen" and "1 million sales" and a golden badge "in 10 days"

Article by Kami

At the end of 2024, the demo of a space-shop game never drew more than 28 players at once, according to tinyBuild CEO Alex Nichiporchik, cited by VGTimes. On October 29, 2026, the same project, renamed Probably Stolen, reached 112,145 concurrent players on Steam (the maximum number of players connected at the same time), a record for the publisher according to TechTimes.

The studio Questing Goose and tinyBuild announce more than a million copies sold in about ten days. That figure comes from the publisher and has not been audited. Here is what the counts say about the peak, the player base and the reviews, then what the game asks of newcomers.

From a 28-player prototype to a million copies

The project that became Probably Stolen was called Deepspace Emporium. tinyBuild and the Montreal studio reworked the visuals and mechanics, then changed the name, VGTimes summarizes. The demo then became one of the most played of the October Steam Next Fest (Steam’s free-demo festival): Output Lag ranks it first in its count, with 39,696 concurrent players at the top, about 12,000 more than the runner-up. More than 500,000 people had wishlisted the game by the time of release on October 28.

Top of the Output Lag article by Steven Mills dated October 29, 2026: the headline announces 200,000 copies sold in one day, above a game screenshot showing a customer in a red hat at the counter
Output Lag, article by Steven Mills dated October 29, 2026: the subhead specifies that the 100,000 concurrent players figure comes from the studio.
StagePublisher or studio announcementSource
A few hours after launch (October 28)200,000 copiesVGTimes
One day350,000VGTimes
October 30500,000DLCompare
One week750,000VGTimes
About ten daysMore than a millionVGTimes

In the million announcement, the studio writes: “Seeing this many people running shops on the station means the world to our small team”. After the first day, it had summed up the result on Reddit as “it came out of nowhere”, again according to Output Lag.

The October 29 peak is behind us, but the player base remains large

The Probably Stolen record, 112,145 concurrent players, dates from October 29, the day after release, according to TechTimes, which cites SteamDB (a Steam statistics site). It beats tinyBuild’s previous record, Graveyard Keeper 2, at 60,538 players, by 85%.

Top of the Tech Times article of October 30, 2026 on the record of 112,145 concurrent players, with a game screenshot: a pixelated counter, two chemistry machines and an inventory grid
Tech Times, article by Maxwell Templeton published on October 30, 2026. Game image: Questing Goose Studio.
WhenConcurrent playersSource
October 29, peak of the day112,145TechTimes (SteamDB)
October 29, 1 p.m. in New York76,160Output Lag
October 30More than 73,000TechTimes
Monday, November 9, 11:21 p.m. (Paris time)43,841Steam public API, reading taken by this site

The November 9 reading is about 39% of the peak: a Monday evening snapshot, not an average. The player base remains large, but the curve is going down.

Reviews have moved too. TechTimes and VGTimes cited 96% positive reviews, TechTimes on more than 2,400 reviews. On the Probably Stolen Steam page, read on November 9 at 11:21 p.m. Paris time, the label is “Mostly Positive”: 74% of 18,957 reviews. The sources read do not explain the gap, and the site did not read those reviews one by one. It is a gap noted, nothing more. For another gap between press reception and Steam player reviews, see our article on Silent Hill: Townfall.

What the Probably Stolen Steam page promises: a shop and a rising rent

According to the game’s Steam page, reread on November 9 at 11:21 p.m. Paris time, you take over a shop in a space station thanks to a generous loan and questionable timing, with a rent that keeps rising and factions watching you. You test the waters, have rare items appraised, and resell counterfeits or stolen goods if you accept the retaliation. The page also flags depictions of drug and alcohol abuse and crimes such as racketeering, bribery and the trade of illegal items.

French-language Steam page of the game, captured on November 9, 2026: title, artwork of a merchant and a customer, a "Mostly Positive" label over 19,020 reviews, release date of October 28, 2026
Game’s Steam page, captured on November 9, 2026: 19,020 reviews displayed at the time of capture.
ItemWhat the Steam page says
Price€19.99; €17.99 at 10% off, with the promotion advertised until November 11 at 6 p.m. Paris time, to be rechecked before buying
PlatformWindows only, single-player
LanguageFrench interface
Achievements21
Minimum requirementsWindows 10 64-bit, Intel Core i3 or equivalent, 8 GB of memory, GTX 650 Ti-class graphics card, DirectX 10, 1 GB of disk space

The press compares the inspection of goods to Papers, Please. GameSpew, which scored the game 8 out of 10 on October 29 from a code provided by the publisher, describes packages and labels to scan to spot counterfeits, and a Resident Evil-style grid inventory. DLCompare adds that version 1.0 brings Steam Workshop (the mod showcase built into Steam).

Getting started: the Apprentice start and the day-seven rent

Probably Stolen offers nine starts, according to DLCompare: Apprentice, Water Merchant, Fence, Gunsmith, Chemist, Hydroponic Farmer, Aquafarmer, Rat Wrangler and Rock Bottom (starting from zero), with four difficulty levels. GameSpew says the game recommends Apprentice to anyone playing for the first time, because it lets you get to grips with the systems. The Output Lag guide, published on November 1, details the first week with that start.

SituationWhat the Output Lag guide advises
Day oneBuy food from the first sellers, the most valuable stock early on, then resell it to whoever asks for it
Wholesale offerAccept it: the guide notes discounts of 15 to 40%, but you have to buy the whole lot
RentKeep 200 credits for day seven, 210 the following week
The dumpDon’t go every night: you open late and lose a customer; put your finds in the backpack by hand
Suspicious packsCheck the seal, the color and the font before accusing a seller: a false accusation costs reputation
Police alarmUse it only on a confirmed suspect: a false alarm is punished with a fine

If you are aiming for all 21 achievements, the Gaming Deputy guide flags two conditions that are settled from the start: “Prodigious” requires the shop’s deed before day 50, and “Clean Hands” requires winning without selling any stolen item or contraband.

As for what comes next, VGTimes reports that Questing Goose plans one more starting trade in December, then two big updates in January and April 2027, with new items, vehicles and characters.